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Weekly Updates 1/13-1/19/25

I still need to formalize this weekly format, but I want to get things out the door to keep the ball rolling.

Please excuse the informality and just absolutely atrocious formatting - need to get off of Blogger at some point!

I was a bit sick to start this week, so did not get off to a good start. Decided to delay some pending habits until I can be more thoughtful about them


Article of note:

https://jasonzweig.com/the-bottle-imp-a-parable-from-1893-for-today/


Read through this long post by Jason Zweig, loved returning to some fiction.


Here are two quotes that stood out:


“Poor creature,” said Keawe, “you would risk your soul upon so desperate an adventure, and to avoid the proper punishment of your own disgrace; and you think I could hesitate with love in front of me. Give me the bottle, and the change which I make sure you have all ready. Here is a five-cent piece.”


“perhaps the best example in all of literature of what happens when people buy an asset without thinking through how they will sell it. I know of no better illustration of how the “greater-fool theory” of investing unfolds. Stevenson’s unforgettable story shows just how hard it is to find a greater fool than you, especially when you most urgently need to find one.”


Random:


Mac Miller had a posthumous album come out this week. I listened to the whole thing and thought it offered some nice perspective. I was never a big Mac Miller fan, but several songs have made their way onto my playlists over the years.

Favorite quote from the album, he says "I used to want to be a wizard." Sounds pretty dumb and funny, but I did too. Wizards are sweet.

Next up, here are some podcast episodes I listened to this week, The formatting is eh because I used AI to summarize, and I added in my comments along the way. 

BTC-Related Podcasts

1. BTC217: MicroStrategy 2025 w/ Jeff Walton

Listen: Spotify

Summary: Jeff Walton unpacks MicroStrategy's aggressive Bitcoin acquisition strategy, its role in corporate treasury management, and how Bitcoin's scarcity aligns with long-term corporate financial planning.

Key Takeaways:

  • Bitcoin as a hedge against fiat currency debasement.

  • MicroStrategy's $8B+ BTC holdings reflect institutional confidence.

  • Corporate adoption may accelerate Bitcoin's role in global finance.

2. MacroVoices #462 Luke Gromen: 2025 Outlook

Listen: Spotify

Summary: Luke Gromen analyzes fiscal policies, debt cycles, and currency trends, predicting stagflationary pressures and a shift toward Bitcoin as a neutral reserve asset.

Key Takeaways:

  • Global debt saturation threatens traditional monetary systems.

  • Bitcoin could absorb dollar surpluses as nations diversify reserves.

  • Energy-linked assets may outperform in inflationary environments.

3. BITCOIN IS THE NEW OIL | Luke Gromen (THE Bitcoin Podcast)

Listen: Spotify

Summary: Gromen compares Bitcoin to oil in its strategic importance, arguing it solves energy arbitrage and offers a neutral settlement layer for global trade.

Key Takeaways:

  • Bitcoin’s energy-intensive mining aligns with geopolitical power shifts.

  • Nations may stockpile BTC to secure trade leverage.

  • Analogous to 20th-century oil, BTC could redefine economic alliances.

4. #1471 James Lavish | Will Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Happen?

Listen: Spotify

Summary: James Lavish debates Bitcoin’s viability as a national reserve asset, citing shrinking dollar dominance and BTC’s hardening monetary properties.

Key Takeaways:

  • Central banks face pressure to diversify beyond gold/USD.

  • Bitcoin’s liquidity and neutrality make it a reserve contender.

  • Adoption hinges on regulatory clarity and institutional custody.

General Podcasts

5. #786: Tactics for a 2025 Reboot — Greg McKeown

Listen: Spotify

Summary: McKeown advocates for essentialism, urging listeners to eliminate non-critical tasks and focus on high-impact goals.

Key Takeaways:

  • Prioritize “less but better” to combat decision fatigue.

  • Systematize routines to preserve cognitive bandwidth.

  • Quarterly “life audits” prevent mission drift.

6. #788: Raising a Sovereign Child — Naval Ravikant & Aaron Stupple

Listen: Spotify

Summary: A debate on fostering independence in children through non-coercive parenting and curiosity-driven learning.

Key Takeaways:

  • Avoid over-scheduling to let natural interests emerge.

  • Model critical thinking instead of enforcing obedience.

  • Encourage autonomy while maintaining emotional safety.

Investing Podcasts

7. RWH053: Trouble Ahead w/ Bill Priest

Listen: Spotify

Summary: Bill Priest warns of complacency in equity markets, highlighting overvalued growth stocks and stagflation risks.

Key Takeaways:

  • Free cash flow analysis critical in high-rate environments.

  • AI’s disruptive potential outweighs short-term hype cycles.

  • Hold cash reserves to capitalize on market dislocations.

Conspiracy/Other Podcasts

8. Paul M. Sutter on Einstein, Aliens, and Existence

Listen: YouTube

Summary: Sutter simplifies black holes, quantum entanglement, and simulation theory, bridging cosmology and philosophy.

Key Takeaways:

  • Space-time curvature explains gravitational phenomena.

  • Hawking radiation challenges classical black hole models.

  • “Fine-tuning” of universal constants fuels simulation debates.

9. E555 Dave Smith — This Past Weekend w/ Theo Von

Listen: Spotify

Summary: Comedian Dave Smith critiques Trump’s potential policies, government overreach, and libertarian solutions to bureaucratic bloat.

Key Takeaways:

  • Predicts Trump’s second term will prioritize deregulation.

  • Advocates for decentralizing federal power to states.

  • Highlights media’s role in shaping partisan narratives.

DH Favorite quote when Theo asks: "What about the Federal Reserve? What is it and is it fucking us?"

Also, Theo asking if we are still based on Gold and other similar questions remind me how most people do not care about the same things that I care about.

I never listened to Theo Von much before, but I understand the appeal. He is really intelligent and plays things off in a funny way.

10. Liz Truss on The Deep State & Free Speech

Listen: Spotify

Summary: Truss exposes UK bureaucratic resistance to reform, linking immigration policies to economic stagnation.

Key Takeaways:

  • “Deep state” inertia stifles legislative accountability.

  • Calls for tax cuts and energy independence to spur growth.

  • Media bias exacerbates political polarization.

DH favorite/most interesting part was when Truss said that institutions that are not explicitly right will drift left over time. She claims this is because if ou are insulated from outcomes of decisions, then you are not tested by the free market/budgets failing, etc.

This is an interesting parallel to David Deutsch's the Beginning of Infinity where he lays out the fact that there needs to be error correction for something to be a beginning of infinity.

There are countless examples in our world today where once you get divorced from error correction mechanisms, incentives get perverted, and then you end up down some dark and dangerous paths.This has happened in the food system, government, monetary system, educational system, science, and elsewhere.

Free markets and the invisible hand are actually quite useful in theory and when they can actually manifest in practice, but it is tough for humans to not intervene and take control.

            11. Tinfoil hat 849 How to identify a psyop w/ Ian Carroll             Listen: Spotify

Key Takeaways:

  • Alas, my AI summaries conked out here so this is coming from memory

  • Reminiscient of this article

  • I love a good conspiracy theory and I like the way that Ian Carroll approaches things



            12. Tinfoil hat 850 Cultural Debauchery with Jesse On Fire             Listen: Spotify

Key Takeaways:

  • Again, no AI summary here unfortunately - suspicious? (Jk)

  • I listened to this because of the priod Ian Carroll episode and was wondering what else these guys talk about

  • It became very clear that there are a lot of threads and theories connecting things that I am blissfully unaware of

  • I think it is helpful in some sense to be aware of these different narratives and search for the kernel of truth

  • the past several years have shown that it can pay to be skeptical and think critically


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